The market moved
-7.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
US kicks trans members out of military before August?
Other · resolves Jul 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.4pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/27/transgender-us-military-personnel-pentagon-memo-stood-down-trump-administration).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.