The market moved
+36.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Other · resolves Feb 28 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 36.4pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: US Government — https://mx.usembassy.gov/security-alert-ongoing-security-operations-u-s-mission-mexico-february-22-2026/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.