The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
Business · resolves Oct 10 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/B235RC1Q027SBEA.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.