The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 100¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Geopolitics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.