The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3?
Other · resolves Jul 3 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on tcmb.gov.tr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tcmb.gov.tr — https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/en/tcmb+en/main+menu/statistics/exchange+rates/indicative+exchange+rates.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.