The market moved
-16.5ppin 24h · now 25¢
Will SKN St. Pölten Frauen vs. BSC Young Boys Frauen end in a draw?
Sports · resolves Aug 5 · vol $9.30
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 5.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.