The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now

Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?

Science · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on aa.com.tr — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: aa.com.tr — https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/china-discovers-new-bat-coronavirus-that-poses-risk-of-animal-to-human-transmission/3489013).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.