The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 68¢

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Sports · resolves Jul 25 · vol $29.47

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 68¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 43.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.