The market moved

-8.0ppin 24h · now 56¢

Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs Ghools Esports (+1.5)

Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $6.5K

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 56¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 8.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 12.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.