The market moved

-5.5ppin 24h · now 30¢

Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jun 14 · vol $11.41

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 30¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 5.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 19.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.