The market moved

-18.0ppin 24h · now 25¢

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)

Sports · resolves Jul 7 · vol $103.52

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 25¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 18.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
  • Market resolves in 0.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.