The market moved

-0.5ppin 24h · now 36¢

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)

Sports · resolves Jun 15 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.2h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.