The market moved

-6.5ppin 24h · now 57¢

Valorant: SK Nebula vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winner

Sports · resolves Aug 3 · vol $196.47

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 57¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.