The market moved

-1.5ppin 24h · now 67¢

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Sports · resolves Aug 9 · vol $199.89

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 20.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.