The market moved

+34.5ppin 24h · now 92¢

Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)

Sports · resolves Jul 31 · vol $2.9K

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 92¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 34.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 4.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.