Map 3 Rounds Handicap: T1 (-4.5) vs Team Secret (+4.5)

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 50¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
• Market resolves in 2.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.