The market moved

+0.2ppin 24h · now 100¢

Was the Cybertruck bombing a lone wolf attack?

Other · resolves Jan 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.2pp shift. Resolution depends on statements from january — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Statements from January — https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/one-killed-after-tesla-cybertruck-catches-fire-and-explodes-outside-trumps-las-vegas-hotel.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.