Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of state and — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of State and — https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/](https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.