The market moved
+0.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?
Other · resolves Sep 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.9pp shift. Resolution depends on to the fivethirtyeight polling average data points for trump and harris for september 10, compared with the polling aver — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the Fivethirtyeight polling average data points for Trump and Harris for September 10, compared with the polling aver — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.