The market moved

-36.0ppin 24h · now

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Politics · resolves Oct 18 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the silver bulletin's election forecast on october 18, 2024 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 18, 2024 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.