The market moved

+1.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Who will raise more in September?

Politics · resolves Aug 20 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the "total receipts" reported for the period covering september 1, 2024, through september 30, 2024 found on the fec fil — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the "Total Receipts" reported for the period covering September 1, 2024, through September 30, 2024 found on the FEC fil — https://docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/C00703975/sa.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.