Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert Best Trick at X Games New Orleans 2026?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 41.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.