The market moved

-4.0ppin 24h · now

Will 007 First Light win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?

Other · resolves Dec 10 · vol $25.10

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://thegameawards.com/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.