Will 150-174 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 68.5pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.