The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?

Science · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc covid tracker, by the resolution date, may 1, 2021, 12 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, May 1, 2021, 12 PM ET — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.