The market moved

-17.0ppin 24h · now

Will 175-199 Republicans vote in favor of government funding bill?

Politics · resolves Mar 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.0pp shift. Resolution depends on us government — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: US government — https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/12/18/congress/congress-pay-raise-increase-00195089).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.