The market moved
+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1?
Science · resolves Aug 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc covid tracker, by the resolution date, august 1, 2021, 8:00 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, August 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.