Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the most recently available data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the most recently available data — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#cases_community.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.