The market moved
+3.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.7pp shift. Resolution depends on the percentage of third party candidates out of the total number of votes in the 2024 us presidential election according — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the percentage of third party candidates out of the total number of votes in the 2024 US Presidential election according.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.