The market moved
+10.5ppin 24h · now 34¢
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
Sports · resolves Jan 1 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 34¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on nhc.noaa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nhc.noaa.gov — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.