The market moved
+4.4ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
Politics · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.4pp shift. Resolution depends on united nations — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: United Nations.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.