Will 2024 be better than 2023?

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 48.5pp shift. Resolution depends on ipsos.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: ipsos.com — https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-say-2023-was-good-year-and-think-2024-will-be-even-better).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.