The market moved

-4.0ppin 24h · now 42¢

Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?

Entertainment · resolves Dec 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 42¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record — https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.