Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc covid tracker, by the resolution date, november 1, 2021, 8:00 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, November 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.