Will 27 named typhoons occur in the Northwest Pacific in 2025?

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the number of named typhoons (i — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the number of named typhoons (i — https://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/year/wnp/2025.html.en).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.