The market moved
+0.7ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on the total number of votes in the 2024 u — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the total number of votes in the 2024 U.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.