The market moved

-10.0ppin 24h · now

Will 4 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?

Politics · open · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell decisively down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.