The market moved
+22.0ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will 4–5 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
Politics · resolves Aug 4 · vol $100.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 28¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 22.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.