The market moved
-24.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?
Politics · resolves Nov 5 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 24.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: polymarket.com — https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.