The market moved
+13.0ppin 24h · now 56¢
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · resolves Jul 20 · vol $58.16
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 56¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 13.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official fifa data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Official FIFA data.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.