The market moved

-10.2ppin 24h · now

Will 7 inmates be captured by Friday?

Other · resolves May 23 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.2pp shift. Resolution depends on to how many of the 10 inmates have been placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by may 23, 2025 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to how many of the 10 inmates have been placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 23, 2025 — https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-orleans-inmates-escape-update/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.