Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.7pp shift. Resolution depends on macys.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: macys.com — https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.