The market moved

+2.6ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?

Entertainment · resolves Jan 23 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.oscars.org/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.