Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 79¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on bls — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: BLS — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.