The market moved

-13.1ppin 24h · now 20¢

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10–$2.20 in August?

Other · resolves Sep 11 · vol $188.37

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 20¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 13.1pp shift. Resolution depends on bls — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: BLS — https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.