The market moved
+1.2ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
Weather · resolves Dec 8 · vol $270.33
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 5¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 1.2pp shift. Resolution depends on nhc.noaa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nhc.noaa.gov — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.