The market moved

-11.5ppin 24h · now

Will a trailer for Spider-Man: Brand New Day premiere at SDCC 2026?

Other · resolves Jul 26 · vol $1.6K

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 9¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 11.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.