The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021?

Politics · resolves Sep 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on supreme court — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Supreme Court — https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/biographies.aspx).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.