The market moved
-6.1ppin 24h · now 28¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?
Business · resolves Jul 24 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 28¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.1pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 31.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.