The market moved
-1.5ppin 24h · now 45¢
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 in July?
Business · resolves Aug 1 · vol $139.70
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 45¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.